Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.043625e-03 0.001187 0.001331 0.001486 0.001647 0.001810 0.001985
2025-11-30 8.696746e-04 0.001081 0.001299 0.001539 0.001795 0.002057 0.002345
2025-12-07 6.888949e-04 0.000946 0.001220 0.001530 0.001866 0.002216 0.002605
2025-12-14 5.231207e-04 0.000810 0.001127 0.001495 0.001901 0.002330 0.002812
2025-12-21 4.255654e-04 0.000740 0.001100 0.001524 0.002000 0.002508 0.003084
2025-12-28 3.110634e-04 0.000636 0.001024 0.001494 0.002028 0.002605 0.003264
2026-01-04 2.338051e-04 0.000568 0.000984 0.001498 0.002091 0.002736 0.003479
2026-01-11 1.618209e-04 0.000495 0.000931 0.001483 0.002129 0.002837 0.003656
2026-01-18 1.051044e-04 0.000432 0.000886 0.001473 0.002168 0.002936 0.003830
2026-01-25 4.534748e-05 0.000344 0.000800 0.001409 0.002141 0.002959 0.003916
2026-02-01 1.399009e-05 0.000287 0.000749 0.001383 0.002157 0.003027 0.004051
2026-02-08 8.304647e-07 0.000249 0.000721 0.001384 0.002201 0.003126 0.004218
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000198 0.000680 0.001383 0.002262 0.003265 0.004456
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000176 0.000683 0.001439 0.002393 0.003486 0.004788
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000130 0.000640 0.001433 0.002448 0.003621 0.005024
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000082 0.000580 0.001400 0.002469 0.003715 0.005213
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000061 0.000568 0.001430 0.002566 0.003896 0.005500
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000029 0.000515 0.001401 0.002587 0.003987 0.005684
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000013 0.000488 0.001405 0.002649 0.004126 0.005920
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000001 0.000451 0.001391 0.002686 0.004233 0.006119
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000418 0.001381 0.002726 0.004342 0.006319
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000355 0.001319 0.002696 0.004366 0.006419
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001294 0.002713 0.004445 0.006581